UAE Petrol Prices for November 2025 – Will They Rise or Drop?

A Jeep Wrangler refuelling at a Shell V-Power station in Dubai. The UAE’s Fuel Price Committee adjusts petrol and diesel prices monthly to mirror global oil trends. The UAE will announce November 2025 petrol and diesel rates on Friday, Oct. 31. After October’s hike, many motorists hope for a price cut. In October 2025 the committee raised UAE petrol prices by 7–8 fils: Super 98 went to AED 2.77/L, Special 95 to AED 2.66, E-Plus 91 to AED 2.58, and Diesel to AED 2.71. (These monthly adjustments have been mandatory since fuel was deregulated in 2015.)

October 2025 UAE Petrol Price Hike

• October prices: Effective Oct 1, the new rates were Super 98: AED 2.77 (up from 2.70), Special 95: AED 2.66 (up from 2.58), E-Plus 91: AED 2.58 (up from 2.51), Diesel: AED 2.71 (up from 2.66).
  
• Year-on-year: All fuel grades cost more than a year ago. For example, last October E-Plus 91 was AED 2.47 (now 2.58) and Special 95 was 2.54 (now 2.66). In short, filling up is slightly more expensive today than 12 months back.

Since deregulation (2015), such changes simply track world crude prices. (Notably, prices were temporarily frozen during 2020’s COVID-19 crisis and only returned to market-driven adjustments in early 2021.)

Global Oil Market Trends

Worldwide oil price swings largely determine UAE pump prices. In late October, Brent crude was around $65–$66 per barrel (versus ~$67 in September). Earlier in October, fears of a supply glut had pushed Brent briefly below $61. However, recent U.S. sanctions on major Russian oil producers triggered a sharp rally: Brent spiked +5.4% in one session, marking its biggest weekly gain since June. Traders now see short-term supply tightening (a “backwardation” market). Kuwait’s oil minister even hinted OPEC+ may raise output if demand grows, while forecasts vary: Bank of America still pegs year-end Brent at ~$55 (betting on OPEC discipline), but Citi sees prices falling toward $50 if global demand stays weak.

Analysts at XMArabia warn that despite near-term surplus risks, longer-term supply deficits could emerge in 2025–26 if sanctions are enforced. Nadir Belbarka notes world oil supply could exceed demand by millions of barrels per day in the coming years – a bearish backdrop. Yet geopolitical risks (Russian export issues, Iranian output limits, shipping security) keep a risk-premium in play.

Will UAE Petrol Prices Rise or Drop in November?

The November adjustment will reflect these mixed signals. If Brent holds near current levels (~$65), the UAE pump rates could be trimmed slightly to follow global declines. Indeed, Big sources note that if October’s dip in oil persists, motorists may see a small downward UAE petrol price tweak in early November.

However, most analysts caution against expecting a big drop. Big sources report experts saying “fuel prices are unlikely to drop sharply in the immediate future”. If recent sanctions effects linger, fuel rates may stay steady or even edge up. One analyst quoted suggests drivers might “start to feel the impact at the pump within a few days” once sanctions take hold. In short:

• Downside factors: Lower October oil averages and eased US-China trade tensions could justify a modest cut.
  
• Upside factors: Supply-tightening sanctions and geopolitical premiums argue for flat or slightly higher UAE petrol prices.

Most forecasts imply only a marginal change. For now, motorists should watch global oil through this week. The official November rates will be announced Oct 31 – and then we’ll know for sure.

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Trends and Historical Rates

Prices remain well within a moderate range. The table below shows recent official UAE petrol/diesel rates (AED per litre) as set by the Fuel Price Committee:

The above rates are official UAE averages. (Readers can see a fuller historical table.)

In year-over-year terms, filling up is pricier than in late 2024: for example, Super 98 was AED 2.66 in Oct 2024 versus 2.77 now, and E-Plus 91 was 2.47 versus 2.58. This means UAE fuel is “less affordable” than it was 12 months ago, though still much lower than the peaks seen in 2024.

Impact on Drivers and Car Owners

Any change in pump rates will directly affect UAE motorists and car rental customers. A drop in UAE petrol prices would ease travel costs (especially for high-mileage drivers or rental travellers), while even a small rise slightly increases everyday commuting expenses. Since UAE fuel prices are transparent and announced monthly, drivers can plan budgets a few days ahead.

For now, many UAE drivers are bracing for only a marginal change. As one expert put it, relief at the pump in early November will depend on how long the recent sanction-driven price spikes last. Watch this space for the official November rates – they’ll reveal whether UAE petrol prices rise, fall or hold steady on Nov. 1.

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